Kickoff: 1759669200
Aston Villa
Burnley
FootyForge

>

Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Aston Villa

Rating: 5.0

Mixed

W

D

L

L

D

L

D

W

W

W

Points per game:

1.5

Aston Villa

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.75

1.33

1.5

Win %

50%

33%

40%

Goals Scored

1

1.33

1.2

Goals Conceded

1

1.17

1.1

Possession

49%

52%

51%

Burnley

Rating: 2.3

Poor

L

L

L

W

W

L

L

D

L

L

Points per game:

0.7

Burnley

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.17

0

0.7

Win %

33%

0%

20%

Goals Scored

1

0.75

0.9

Goals Conceded

1

3

1.8

Possession

42%

38%

40%

Teams Statistics

Aston Villa

Home

Away

Total

Matches

4

6

10

Wins

2

2

4

Draws

1

2

3

Lost

1

2

3

Corners

5.8

4.2

4.8

Cards

1.6

1.4

1.5

Shots on target

3.8

3.3

3.5

BTTS

25%

33%

30%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

17%

30%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Aston Villa are averages per match.

Burnley

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

2

0

2

Draws

1

0

1

Lost

3

4

7

Corners

4.2

3

3.7

Cards

1.3

3.3

2

Shots on target

4

2.8

3.5

BTTS

50%

50%

50%

Goals (Over 2.5)

33%

75%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Burnley are averages per match.

Aston Villa vs Burnley H2H

Aston Villa
Burnley
5 Wins
6 Draws
2 Wins

Historical records show numerous clashes between Aston Villa and Burnley. Draws seem to be the dominant outcome between Aston Villa and Burnley.

Aston Villa
(at home)
Burnley
(at away)
2 Wins
4 Draws
1 Wins

H2H

Aston Villa

Burnley

Scored

24

17

Win %

38.5%

15.4%

BTTS

Yes (84.6%)

Goals 2.5

Over (53.8%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Aston Villa to win

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Aston Villa

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Draw

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
1.61
X
3.90
2
5.25

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

No

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

moderate

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.95
No
1.80

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

-

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

moderate

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.17
X2
2.25
12
1.25

Highest probability: 40.8%

Aston Villa Corners (6.5): Under 6.5

Over
1.91
Tip
Under
1.80

Aston Villa - average corners per match at home (4 matches): 5.8.

Burnley Corners (3.5): Under 3.5

Over
1.83
Tip
Under
1.83

Burnley - average corners per match away (4 matches): 3.

Aston Villa Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
2.00
Tip
Under
1.73

Aston Villa - average cards received per match at home (4 matches): 1.6.

Burnley Cards (2.5): Over 2.5

Tip
Over
2.10
Under
1.67

Burnley - average cards received per match away (4 matches): 3.3.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Ollie Watkins
2.25
Tip
Morgan Rogers
3.20
Tip
Donyell Malen
3.50
Tip
John McGinn
4.50
Tip
Lyle Foster
4.75
Tip
Jaidon Anthony
6.00

Aston Villa goalscorers (last 10 matches): John McGinn (3), Emiliano Buendía (3), Ollie Watkins (2), Matty Cash (1).

Burnley goalscorers (last 10 matches): Jaidon Anthony (4), Josh Cullen (1), Zian Flemming (1), Lyle Foster (1).

Teams Matches

Aston Villa Matches

02 Oct

UEFA Europa League

Feyenoord

Aston Villa

0

2

28 Sep

Premier League

Aston Villa

Fulham

3

1

25 Sep

UEFA Europa League

Aston Villa

Bologna

1

0

21 Sep

Premier League

Sunderland

Aston Villa

1

1

16 Sep

EFL Cup

Brentford

Aston Villa

1

1

(4)

(2)

Burnley Matches

27 Sep

Premier League

Man City

Burnley

5

1

23 Sep

EFL Cup

Burnley

Cardiff

1

2

20 Sep

Premier League

Burnley

Forest

1

1

14 Sep

Premier League

Burnley

Liverpool

0

1

30 Aug

Premier League

Man Utd

Burnley

3

2

H2H Matches

30 Dec 2023

Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

3

2

27 Aug 2023

Premier League

Burnley

Aston Villa

1

3

19 May 2022

Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

1

1

07 May 2022

Premier League

Burnley

Aston Villa

1

3

27 Jan 2021

Premier League

Burnley

Aston Villa

3

2

About Aston Villa vs Burnley

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
23
E. Martínez
2
M. Cash
4
E. Konsa
14
P. Torres
12
L. Digne
26
L. Bogarde
44
B. Kamara
7
J. McGinn
27
M. Rogers
17
D. Malen
11
O. Watkins
1
M. Dúbravka
3
Q. Hartman
5
M. Estève
6
A. Tuanzebe
29
J. Laurent
2
K. Walker
11
J. Anthony
16
F. Luís
24
J. Cullen
17
L. Tchaouna
9
L. Foster
Burnley (5-4-1)

About the match

On October 5, 2025, Aston Villa will face Burnley in round 7 of Premier League. The fixture will be held at Villa Park, Birmingham, with Andrew Kitchen as the referee.

Aston Villa is currently in the 16th spot (lower table) with 6 points, while Burnley is eighteenth (in the relegation zone) on 4 points. The teams are separated by just two places and just two points.

Prediction

We pick Aston Villa to win, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with moderate confidence based on H2H only.

Burnley Streaks

Burnley has lost their last 4 consecutive away fixtures. Burnley's defense has allowed goals in all recent four away fixtures. Away from home, Burnley has conceded 2 or more goals in each of their last three matches. Burnley has gone 4 consecutive away matches without a win.

Burnley's last three away games saw over 2.5 goals scored.