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Atl. Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
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Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Atl. Madrid

Rating: 5.0

Mixed

W

W

L

W

L

D

D

W

L

D

Points per game:

1.5

Atl. Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.33

1.14

1.5

Win %

67%

29%

40%

Goals Scored

1.33

1.43

1.4

Goals Conceded

0.33

1.29

1

Possession

60%

54%

56%

Rayo Vallecano

Rating: 5.7

Good

W

L

W

W

W

L

W

D

L

D

Points per game:

1.7

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.67

1.71

1.7

Win %

33%

57%

50%

Goals Scored

2

2

2

Goals Conceded

0.67

1

0.9

Possession

57%

59%

58%

Teams Statistics

Atl. Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Matches

3

7

10

Wins

2

2

4

Draws

1

2

3

Lost

0

3

3

Corners

9

4.4

5.8

Cards

0.7

2.3

1.8

Shots on target

4.7

4.9

4.8

BTTS

33%

71%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

0%

43%

30%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Atl. Madrid are averages per match.

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Away

Total

Matches

3

7

10

Wins

1

4

5

Draws

2

0

2

Lost

0

3

3

Corners

7

6.4

6.6

Cards

2

0.8

1.1

Shots on target

6.3

4.4

5

BTTS

67%

29%

40%

Goals (Over 2.5)

33%

57%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Rayo Vallecano are averages per match.

Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H

Atl. Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
21 Wins
7 Draws
4 Wins

The H2H history between Atl. Madrid and Rayo Vallecano is extensive. Atl. Madrid dominates Rayo Vallecano in their direct matches (21 W, 7 D, 4 L).

Atl. Madrid
(at home)
Rayo Vallecano
(at away)
12 Wins
2 Draws
2 Wins

H2H

Atl. Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Scored

61

23

Win %

65.6%

12.5%

BTTS

No (56.3%)

Goals 2.5

Under (53.1%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Atl. Madrid to win

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Atl. Madrid

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Atl. Madrid

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
1.45
X
4.33
2
7.50

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams to score: No

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

No

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

weak

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.95
No
1.80

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Over 2.5

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

weak

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
2.00
Over
1.80

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.10
X2
2.63
12
1.20

Highest probability: 42.8%

Halftime Result: 1

Tip
1
1.95
X
2.38
2
6.50

Highest probability: 47.1%

Atl. Madrid Corners (5.5): Over 5.5

Tip
Over
1.83
Under
1.83

Atlético Madrid - average corners per match at home (3 matches): 9.

Rayo Vallecano Corners (3.5): Over 3.5

Tip
Over
1.73
Under
2.00

Rayo Vallecano - average corners per match away (7 matches): 6.4.

Atl. Madrid Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.80
Tip
Under
1.91

Atlético Madrid - average cards received per match at home (3 matches): 0.7.

Rayo Vallecano Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
2.00
Tip
Under
1.73

Rayo Vallecano - average cards received per match away (7 matches): 0.8.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Alexander Sorloth
1.83
Tip
Julian Alvarez
2.00
Tip
Alejandro Monserrate
2.38
Tip
Carlos Martin
2.38
Tip
Antoine Griezmann
2.50
Tip
Giacomo Raspadori
2.75

Atl. Madrid goalscorers (last 10 matches): Pablo Barrios (3), Antoine Griezmann (2), Marcos Llorente (2), Julián Álvarez (2).

Rayo Vallecano goalscorers (last 10 matches): Jorge de Frutos (6), Álvaro García (4), Isi Palazón (2), Óscar Trejo (1).

Teams Matches

Atl. Madrid Matches

21 Sep

LaLiga

Mallorca

Atl. Madrid

1

1

17 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool

Atl. Madrid

3

2

13 Sep

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Villarreal

2

0

30 Aug

LaLiga

Alavés

Atl. Madrid

1

1

23 Aug

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Elche

1

1

Rayo Vallecano Matches

21 Sep

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

Celta

1

1

14 Sep

LaLiga

Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano

2

0

31 Aug

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona

1

1

28 Aug

UEFA Europa Conference League, Qualification Playoff

Rayo Vallecano

Neman

4

0

25 Aug

LaLiga

Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano

1

0

H2H Matches

24 Apr 2025

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

3

0

22 Sep 2024

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

Atl. Madrid

1

1

31 Jan 2024

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

2

1

28 Aug 2023

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

Atl. Madrid

0

7

09 Apr 2023

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

Atl. Madrid

1

2

About Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Confirmed Lineups

Atl. Madrid (4-4-2)
13
J. Oblak
16
N. Molina
24
R. Le Normand
17
D. Hancko
21
J. Galán
14
M. Llorente
6
Koke
8
P. Barrios
4
C. Gallagher
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Álvarez
13
A. Batalla
3
J. Chavarría
33
J. Vertrouwd
24
F. Lejeune
20
I. Balliu
21
F. Pérez
17
U. López
23
Ó. Valentín
2
A. Rațiu
9
Alemão
7
I. Palazón
Rayo Vallecano (4-4-2)

About the match

On September 24, 2025, Atl. Madrid will face Rayo Vallecano in round 6 of La Liga. The fixture will be held at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, with Alejandro Hernandez as the referee.

Atl. Madrid is currently in the twelfth spot (middle table) with 6 points, while Rayo Vallecano is 14th (lower table) on 5 points. Atl. Madrid sits higher in the table than Rayo Vallecano, with just two places and a single point in between.

Prediction

We pick Atlético Madrid to win, with high confidence. BTTS No is the likely outcome, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with moderate confidence.

Atl. Madrid Streaks

At home, Atlético Madrid remains unbeaten in three straight matches.