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Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
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Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Atl. Madrid

Rating: 5.0

Mixed

W

L

W

L

D

D

W

L

D

W

Points per game:

1.5

Atl. Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.5

0.83

1.5

Win %

75%

17%

40%

Goals Scored

1.75

1.17

1.4

Goals Conceded

0.75

1.33

1.1

Possession

60%

53%

56%

Real Madrid

Rating: 9.0

Excellent

W

L

W

W

W

W

W

W

W

W

Points per game:

2.7

Real Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

3

2.4

2.7

Win %

100%

80%

90%

Goals Scored

2

2.6

2.3

Goals Conceded

0.8

1.2

1

Possession

59%

55%

57%

Teams Statistics

Atl. Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Matches

4

6

10

Wins

3

1

4

Draws

1

2

3

Lost

0

3

3

Corners

8.8

4.8

6.4

Cards

1.3

2.3

1.9

Shots on target

5.5

4.5

4.9

BTTS

50%

67%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

25%

33%

30%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Atl. Madrid are averages per match.

Real Madrid

Home

Away

Total

Matches

5

5

10

Wins

5

4

9

Draws

0

0

0

Lost

0

1

1

Corners

5.6

6.8

6.2

Cards

1.6

1.2

1.4

Shots on target

8

7.6

7.8

BTTS

60%

40%

50%

Goals (Over 2.5)

60%

100%

80%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Real Madrid are averages per match.

Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid H2H

Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
15 Wins
25 Draws
43 Wins

The H2H history between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid is extensive. Real Madrid dominates Atl. Madrid in their direct matches (43 W, 25 D, 15 L).

Atl. Madrid
(at home)
Real Madrid
(at away)
9 Wins
11 Draws
18 Wins

H2H

Atl. Madrid

Real Madrid

Scored

86

133

Win %

18.1%

51.8%

BTTS

Yes (60.2%)

Goals 2.5

Under (54.2%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Atl. Madrid to win

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Real Madrid

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Atl. Madrid

moderate

Odds for Full Time

1
3.00
X
3.60
2
2.25

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Yes

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

high

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.61
No
2.20

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

under 2.5 goals in the match

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Over 2.5

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Under 2.5

moderate

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
2.10
Over
1.73

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 12

1X
1.61
X2
1.36
Tip
12
1.29

Highest probability: 36.5%

Halftime Result: X

1
3.50
Tip
X
2.30
2
2.88

Highest probability: 40.7%

Atl. Madrid Corners (4.5): Over 4.5

Tip
Over
1.73
Under
2.00

Atlético Madrid - average corners per match at home (4 matches): 8.8.

Real Madrid Corners (4.5): Over 4.5

Tip
Over
1.67
Under
2.10

Real Madrid - average corners per match away (5 matches): 6.8.

Atl. Madrid Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
1.91
Tip
Under
1.80

Atlético Madrid - average cards received per match at home (4 matches): 1.3.

Real Madrid Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
2.50
Tip
Under
1.50

Real Madrid - average cards received per match away (5 matches): 1.2.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Kylian Mbappe
1.95
Tip
Alexander Sorloth
2.40
Tip
Julian Alvarez
2.60
Tip
Vinicius Jr.
3.00
Tip
Jude Bellingham
3.10
Tip
Nicolas Gonzalez
4.00

Atl. Madrid goalscorers (last 10 matches): Julián Álvarez (5), Antoine Griezmann (2), Marcos Llorente (2), Alexander Sørloth (1).

Real Madrid goalscorers (last 10 matches): Kylian Mbappé (12), Vinícius Júnior (3), Éder Militão (2), Arda Güler (2).

Teams Matches

Atl. Madrid Matches

24 Sep

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

3

2

21 Sep

LaLiga

Mallorca

Atl. Madrid

1

1

17 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool

Atl. Madrid

3

2

13 Sep

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Villarreal

2

0

30 Aug

LaLiga

Alavés

Atl. Madrid

1

1

Real Madrid Matches

23 Sep

LaLiga

Levante

Real Madrid

1

4

20 Sep

LaLiga

Real Madrid

Espanyol

2

0

16 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Marseille

2

1

13 Sep

LaLiga

Real Sociedad

Real Madrid

1

2

30 Aug

LaLiga

Real Madrid

Mallorca

2

1

H2H Matches

12 Mar 2025

UEFA Champions League, Knockout Phase

Atl. Madrid

Real Madrid

1

0

(2)

(4)

04 Mar 2025

UEFA Champions League, Knockout Phase

Real Madrid

Atl. Madrid

2

1

08 Feb 2025

LaLiga

Real Madrid

Atl. Madrid

1

1

29 Sep 2024

LaLiga

Atl. Madrid

Real Madrid

1

1

04 Feb 2024

LaLiga

Real Madrid

Atl. Madrid

1

1

About Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid

Confirmed Lineups

Atl. Madrid (4-4-2)
13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
24
R. Le Normand
15
C. Lenglet
17
D. Hancko
20
G. Simeone
8
P. Barrios
6
Koke
23
N. González
9
A. Sørloth
19
J. Álvarez
1
T. Courtois
18
Á. Carreras
24
D. Huijsen
3
É. Militão
2
D. Carvajal
7
Vinícius Jr.
14
A. Tchouaméni
8
F. Valverde
15
A. Güler
10
K. Mbappé
5
J. Bellingham
Real Madrid (4-4-2)

About the match

On September 27, 2025, Atlético Madrid will face Real Madrid in round 7 of La Liga. The fixture will be held at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, with Javier Alberola Rojas as the referee.

Atlético Madrid is currently in the 9th spot (middle table) with 9 points, while Real Madrid is 1st on 18 points. Real Madrid sits higher in the table than Atlético Madrid, with eight places and nine points in between.

Prediction

We pick Atlético Madrid to win, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with high confidence. Under 2.5 goals is our pick, with low confidence and prediction model conflict.

Atl. Madrid Streaks

At home, Atl. Madrid remains unbeaten in four straight matches.

Real Madrid Streaks

Real Madrid has won four consecutive away matches. Real Madrid have tallied 2+ goals in four consecutive away fixtures. On the road, Real Madrid remains unbeaten in 4 consecutive matches.

Real Madrid's last five away games saw over 2.5 goals scored.