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Burnley
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Burnley vs Leeds Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Burnley

Rating: 2.3

Poor

L

L

W

W

L

L

D

L

L

L

Points per game:

0.7

Burnley

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.17

0

0.7

Win %

33%

0%

20%

Goals Scored

1

1

1

Goals Conceded

1

3.25

1.9

Possession

42%

37%

40%

Leeds

Rating: 3.3

Poor

D

D

W

L

L

D

L

W

D

L

Points per game:

1

Leeds

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.17

0.75

1

Win %

17%

25%

20%

Goals Scored

1

1

1

Goals Conceded

1

2.75

1.7

Possession

52%

51%

51%

Teams Statistics

Burnley

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

2

0

2

Draws

1

0

1

Lost

3

4

7

Corners

4.2

3

3.7

Cards

1.3

3

1.8

Shots on target

4

2.8

3.5

BTTS

50%

75%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

33%

100%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Burnley are averages per match.

Leeds

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

1

1

2

Draws

4

0

4

Lost

1

3

4

Corners

5.3

3.3

4.5

Cards

0.9

1.3

1

Shots on target

3.5

3.8

3.6

BTTS

67%

50%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

33%

75%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Leeds are averages per match.

Burnley vs Leeds H2H

Burnley
Leeds
5 Wins
3 Draws
9 Wins

Historical records show numerous clashes between Burnley and Leeds. Leeds dominates Burnley in their direct matches (9 W, 3 D, 5 L).

Burnley
(at home)
Leeds
(at away)
3 Wins
2 Draws
4 Wins

H2H

Burnley

Leeds

Scored

16

23

Win %

29.4%

52.9%

BTTS

Yes (52.9%)

Goals 2.5

Under (52.9%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Burnley vs Leeds Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Leeds to win

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Leeds

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Draw

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
3.40
X
3.25
2
2.20

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams to score: No

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

No

weak

Agreement?

Choice

No

moderate

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.95
No
1.80

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

under 2.5 goals in the match

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Under 2.5

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Under 2.5

moderate

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
1.61
Over
2.30

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: X2

1X
1.67
Tip
X2
1.30
12
1.33

Highest probability: 36.3%

Halftime Result: X

1
4.00
Tip
X
2.05
2
2.88

Highest probability: 44.9%

Burnley Corners (4.5): Under 4.5

Over
2.00
Tip
Under
1.73

Burnley - average corners per match at home (6 matches): 4.2.

Leeds Corners (4.5): Under 4.5

Over
1.67
Tip
Under
2.10

Leeds United - average corners per match away (4 matches): 3.3.

Burnley Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.50
Tip
Under
2.50

Burnley - average cards received per match at home (6 matches): 1.3.

Leeds Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.50
Tip
Under
2.50

Leeds United - average cards received per match away (4 matches): 1.3.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
2.88
Tip
Joel Piroe
3.20
Tip
Jacob Bruun Larsen
3.60
Tip
Lukas Nmecha
3.60
Tip
Noah Okafor
3.75
Tip
Daniel James
4.00

Burnley goalscorers (last 10 matches): Jaidon Anthony (4), Josh Cullen (1), Zian Flemming (1), Lyle Foster (1).

Leeds goalscorers (last 10 matches): Noah Okafor (2), Anton Stach (2), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (1), Lukas Nmecha (1).

Teams Matches

Burnley Matches

05 Oct

Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

2

1

27 Sep

Premier League

Man City

Burnley

5

1

23 Sep

EFL Cup

Burnley

Cardiff

1

2

20 Sep

Premier League

Burnley

Forest

1

1

14 Sep

Premier League

Burnley

Liverpool

0

1

Leeds Matches

04 Oct

Premier League

Leeds

Tottenham

1

2

27 Sep

Premier League

Leeds

Bournemouth

2

2

20 Sep

Premier League

Wolves

Leeds

1

3

13 Sep

Premier League

Fulham

Leeds

1

0

30 Aug

Premier League

Leeds

Newcastle

0

0

H2H Matches

27 Jan 2025

Championship

Burnley

Leeds

0

0

14 Sep 2024

Championship

Leeds

Burnley

0

1

02 Jan 2022

Premier League

Leeds

Burnley

3

1

29 Aug 2021

Premier League

Burnley

Leeds

1

1

15 May 2021

Premier League

Burnley

Leeds

0

4

About Burnley vs Leeds

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley (4-2-3-1)
1
M. Dúbravka
2
K. Walker
6
A. Tuanzebe
5
M. Estève
3
Q. Hartman
24
J. Cullen
16
F. Luís
7
J. B. Larsen
8
L. Ugochukwu
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
26
K. Darlow
3
G. Gudmundsson
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
20
J. Harrison
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
11
B. Aaronson
Leeds (4-3-3)

About the match

On October 18, 2025, Burnley will face Leeds United in round 8 of Premier League. The fixture will be held at Turf Moor, Burnley, with Tim Robinson as the referee.

Burnley holds the 18th position (in the relegation zone), with 4 points. Leeds, meanwhile, is fifteenth (lower table) with 8 points. Leeds is currently placed only three positions above Burnley, with a four points difference.

Prediction

We pick Leeds United to win, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS No is the likely outcome, with high confidence. Under 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.

Burnley Streaks

Burnley hasn't kept a clean sheet at home in their last 4 matches. Burnley is winless in their last 3 consecutive home matches.

Leeds Streaks

Leeds United's defense has allowed goals in all recent four away fixtures.