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Chelsea
Ajax
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Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Chelsea

Rating: 6.3

Good

W

W

D

L

L

W

L

W

W

W

Points per game:

1.9

Chelsea

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.25

1.67

1.9

Win %

75%

50%

60%

Goals Scored

1.5

2.33

2

Goals Conceded

1

1.5

1.3

Possession

56%

59%

58%

Ajax

Rating: 4.3

Mixed

D

W

D

W

L

D

W

L

D

L

Points per game:

1.3

Ajax

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.8

0.8

1.3

Win %

60%

0%

30%

Goals Scored

1.4

1.6

1.5

Goals Conceded

1.2

2.4

1.8

Possession

59%

56%

57%

Teams Statistics

Chelsea

Home

Away

Total

Matches

4

6

10

Wins

3

3

6

Draws

0

1

1

Lost

1

2

3

Corners

5.3

3.7

4.3

Cards

2.5

2.6

2.6

Shots on target

4.5

4.5

4.5

BTTS

50%

83%

70%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

100%

80%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Chelsea are averages per match.

Ajax

Home

Away

Total

Matches

5

5

10

Wins

3

0

3

Draws

0

4

4

Lost

2

1

3

Corners

5.4

6.4

5.9

Cards

1.5

3

2.2

Shots on target

6.4

5.4

5.9

BTTS

40%

80%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

40%

80%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Ajax are averages per match.

Chelsea vs Ajax H2H

Chelsea
Ajax
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins

AFC Ajax and Chelsea have faced each other on very few occasions. Chelsea dominates AFC Ajax in their direct matches (1 W, 1 D, 0 L).

Chelsea
(at home)
Ajax
(at away)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins

H2H

Chelsea

Ajax

Scored

5

4

Win %

50%

0%

BTTS

Even (50%)

Goals 2.5

Even (50%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Chelsea vs Ajax Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Chelsea to win

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Chelsea

high

Agreement?

Choice

Chelsea

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
1.29
X
6.00
2
9.00

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Yes

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

weak

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.80
No
1.95

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Over 2.5

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

weak

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
2.75
Over
1.44

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.07
X2
3.50
12
1.13

Highest probability: 44.3%

Halftime Result: 1

Tip
1
1.73
X
2.75
2
7.50

Highest probability: 53.8%

Chelsea Corners (6.5): Under 6.5

Over
1.91
Tip
Under
1.80

Chelsea - average corners per match at home (4 matches): 5.3.

Ajax Corners (2.5): Over 2.5

Tip
Over
1.67
Under
2.10

AFC Ajax - average corners per match away (5 matches): 6.4.

Chelsea Cards (1.5): Over 1.5

Tip
Over
1.50
Under
2.50

Chelsea - average cards received per match at home (4 matches): 2.5.

Ajax Cards (2.5): Over 2.5

Tip
Over
1.83
Under
1.83

AFC Ajax - average cards received per match away (5 matches): 3.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Marc Guiu
2.10
Tip
Pedro Neto
2.50
Tip
Alejandro Garnacho
2.63
Tip
Estevao
2.63
Tip
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
2.63
Tip
Tyrique George
2.63

Chelsea goalscorers (last 10 matches): Enzo Fernández (3), Moisés Caicedo (3), Trevoh Chalobah (2), Pedro Neto (2).

Ajax goalscorers (last 10 matches): Wout Weghorst (3), Oscar Gloukh (3), Davy Klaassen (2), Kenneth Taylor (2).

Teams Matches

Chelsea Matches

18 Oct

Premier League

Forest

Chelsea

0

3

04 Oct

Premier League

Chelsea

Liverpool

2

1

30 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Chelsea

Benfica

1

0

27 Sep

Premier League

Chelsea

Brighton

1

3

23 Sep

EFL Cup

Lincoln

Chelsea

1

2

Ajax Matches

18 Oct

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Ajax

AZ

0

2

04 Oct

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Sparta

Ajax

3

3

30 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Marseille

Ajax

4

0

27 Sep

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Ajax

NAC Breda

2

1

21 Sep

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

PSV

Ajax

2

2

H2H Matches

05 Nov 2019

UEFA Champions League, Group H

Chelsea

Ajax

4

4

23 Oct 2019

UEFA Champions League, Group H

Ajax

Chelsea

0

1

About Chelsea vs Ajax

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
12
F. Jørgensen
25
M. Caicedo
29
W. Fofana
4
T. Adarabioyo
21
J. Hato
8
E. Fernández
45
R. Lavia
40
F. Buonanotte
41
Estêvão
11
J. Gittens
38
M. Guiu
22
R. Pasveer
15
Y. Baas
37
J. Å utalo
4
K. Itakura
2
L. Rosa
8
K. Taylor
10
O. Gloukh
16
J. McConnell
11
M. Godts
25
W. Weghorst
7
R. Moro
Ajax (4-3-3)

About the match

Date: October 22, 2025

League: Champions League

Round: 3

Prediction

We pick Chelsea to win, with high confidence. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with moderate confidence. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.

Ajax Streaks

AFC Ajax's defense has allowed goals in all recent five away fixtures. Away from home, Ajax has conceded 2 or more goals in each of their last three matches. Ajax has gone 5 consecutive away matches without a win.

AFC Ajax's last three away games saw over 2.5 goals scored.