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Derby
Southampton
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Derby vs Southampton Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Derby

Rating: 3.3

Poor

L

W

L

D

L

D

W

L

D

D

Points per game:

1

Derby

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

0.5

1.33

1

Win %

0%

33%

20%

Goals Scored

1.25

1.67

1.5

Goals Conceded

2

1.83

1.9

Possession

52%

39%

44%

Southampton

Rating: 4.3

Mixed

D

L

W

D

D

L

W

L

D

W

Points per game:

1.3

Southampton

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

0.67

1.57

1.3

Win %

0%

43%

30%

Goals Scored

0.67

2.29

1.8

Goals Conceded

1

2

1.7

Possession

60%

51%

54%

Teams Statistics

Derby

Home

Away

Total

Matches

4

6

10

Wins

0

2

2

Draws

2

2

4

Lost

2

2

4

Corners

4.5

2.3

3.2

Cards

2.3

3.5

3

Shots on target

3

1.8

2.3

BTTS

75%

83%

80%

Goals (Over 2.5)

25%

67%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Derby are averages per match.

Southampton

Home

Away

Total

Matches

3

7

10

Wins

0

3

3

Draws

2

2

4

Lost

1

2

3

Corners

6.7

5.3

5.8

Cards

1.8

2.4

2.2

Shots on target

1.7

4.5

3.6

BTTS

67%

86%

80%

Goals (Over 2.5)

33%

86%

70%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Southampton are averages per match.

Derby vs Southampton H2H

Derby
Southampton
7 Wins
7 Draws
5 Wins

Historical records show numerous clashes between Derby and Southampton. Derby County dominates Southampton in their direct matches (7 W, 7 D, 5 L).

Derby
(at home)
Southampton
(at away)
4 Wins
5 Draws
1 Wins

H2H

Derby

Southampton

Scored

26

23

Win %

36.8%

26.3%

BTTS

No (57.9%)

Goals 2.5

Under (57.9%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Derby vs Southampton Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Southampton to win

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Southampton

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Draw

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
3.50
X
3.20
2
2.10

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams to score: No

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

No

weak

Agreement?

Choice

No

weak

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
2.00
No
1.73

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

under 2.5 goals in the match

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Under 2.5

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Under 2.5

weak

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
1.61
Over
2.30

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: X2

1X
1.67
Tip
X2
1.29
12
1.36

Highest probability: 36.8%

Halftime Result: X

1
4.33
Tip
X
2.05
2
2.88

Highest probability: 45.7%

Derby Corners (4.5): Under 4.5

Over
2.00
Tip
Under
1.73

Derby County - average corners per match at home (4 matches): 4.5.

Southampton Corners (5.5): Under 5.5

Over
1.91
Tip
Under
1.80

Southampton - average corners per match away (7 matches): 5.3.

Derby Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
2.38
Tip
Under
1.53

Derby County - average cards received per match at home (4 matches): 2.3.

Southampton Cards (1.5): Over 1.5

Tip
Over
1.53
Under
2.38

Southampton - average cards received per match away (7 matches): 2.4.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Adam Armstrong
2.88
Tip
Cameron Archer
3.40
Tip
Carlton Morris
3.40
Tip
Damion Downs
3.40
Tip
Patrick Agyemang
3.40
Tip
Ross Stewart
3.40

Derby goalscorers (last 10 matches): Carlton Morris (4), Andreas Weimann (1), Matthew Clarke (1), Ebou Adams (1).

Southampton goalscorers (last 10 matches): Adam Armstrong (2), Ross Stewart (2), Cameron Archer (2), Ryan Fraser (1).

Teams Matches

Derby Matches

30 Sep

Championship

Derby

Charlton

1

1

27 Sep

Championship

Wrexham

Derby

1

1

20 Sep

Championship

Derby

Preston

0

1

13 Sep

Championship

West Brom

Derby

0

1

30 Aug

Championship

Ipswich

Derby

2

2

Southampton Matches

30 Sep

Championship

Sheffield Utd

Southampton

1

2

27 Sep

Championship

Southampton

Middlesbrough

1

1

23 Sep

EFL Cup

Liverpool

Southampton

2

1

23 Sep

Hampshire Senior Cup

Petersfield Town

Southampton

2

2

(3)

(4)

20 Sep

Championship

Hull

Southampton

3

1

H2H Matches

16 Jan 2019

FA Cup

Southampton

Derby

2

2

(3)

(5)

05 Jan 2019

FA Cup

Derby

Southampton

2

2

21 Jul 2018

Club Friendly Games

Derby

Southampton

3

0

18 Feb 2012

Championship

Southampton

Derby

4

0

15 Oct 2011

Championship

Derby

Southampton

1

1

About Derby vs Southampton

Confirmed Lineups

Derby (4-2-3-1)
1
J. W. Zetterström
22
M. Johnston
28
D. Sanderson
5
M. Clarke
3
C. Forsyth
27
L. Travis
18
D. Ozoh
42
B. Clark
9
C. Morris
14
A. Weimann
7
P. Agyemang
1
A. McCarthy
3
R. Manning
17
J. Quarshie
15
N. Wood
12
R. Edwards
24
S. Charles
20
C. Jander
9
A. Armstrong
13
L. Scienza
26
R. Fraser
11
R. Stewart
Southampton (4-2-3-1)

About the match

On October 4, 2025, Derby County will face Southampton in round 9 of Championship. The fixture will be held at Pride Park Stadium, Derby, with Oliver Langford as the referee.

Prediction

We pick Southampton to win, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS No is the likely outcome, with moderate confidence. Under 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.

Derby Streaks

Derby County hasn't kept a clean sheet at home in their last 4 matches. Derby is winless in their last 4 consecutive home matches.

Southampton Streaks

Southampton's defense has allowed goals in all recent five away fixtures.

In Southampton's recent 5 away fixtures, both teams managed to score. Southampton's last six away games saw over 2.5 goals scored.