


Liverpool
Rating: 7.3
Excellent
D
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
→
Points per game:
2.4
Liverpool
Home
Away
Total
Points Per Game
2.4
2.4
2.4
Win %
80%
80%
80%
Goals Scored
2.8
2.8
2.8
Goals Conceded
1.8
1.8
1.8
Possession
63%
67%
65%

Atl. Madrid
Rating: 5.7
Good
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
D
D
→
Points per game:
1.7
Atl. Madrid
Home
Away
Total
Points Per Game
2.33
1.43
1.7
Win %
67%
43%
50%
Goals Scored
1.33
1.57
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.33
1.29
1
Possession
60%
51%
54%
Liverpool
Home
Away
Total
Matches
5
5
10
Wins
4
4
8
Draws
0
0
0
Lost
1
1
2
Corners
4.8
5.6
5.2
Cards
0.8
1.3
1.1
Shots on target
7.2
5
6.1
BTTS
80%
80%
80%
Goals (Over 2.5)
80%
80%
80%
Corners, cards and shots on target for Liverpool are averages per match.
Atl. Madrid
Home
Away
Total
Matches
3
7
10
Wins
2
3
5
Draws
1
1
2
Lost
0
3
3
Corners
9
4.1
5.6
Cards
0.7
3
2.3
Shots on target
4.7
5
4.9
BTTS
33%
43%
40%
Goals (Over 2.5)
0%
57%
40%
Corners, cards and shots on target for Atl. Madrid are averages per match.


The Liverpool-Atlético Madrid H2H allows for a basic analysis. Atl. Madrid dominates Liverpool in their direct matches (4 W, 2 D, 3 L).


H2H
Liverpool
Atl. Madrid
Scored
10
7
Win %
33.3%
44.4%
BTTS
No (55.6%)
Goals 2.5
Under (88.9%)
Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.
1
Our prediction:
Liverpool to win
(high confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Liverpool
moderate
Agreement?
Choice
Liverpool
weak
Odds for Full Time
2
Our prediction:
both teams will score: Yes
(weak confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Yes
weak
Agreement?
Choice
No
weak
Odds for Both Teams To Score
3
Our prediction:
under 2.5 goals in the match
(moderate confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Over 2.5
moderate
Agreement?
Choice
Under 2.5
high
Odds for Goals O/U
4
Double Chance: 1X
Highest probability: 41.6%
Halftime Result: 1
Highest probability: 47.5%
Liverpool Corners (5.5): Under 5.5
Liverpool - average corners per match at home (5 matches): 4.8.
Atl. Madrid Corners (3.5): Over 3.5
Atlético Madrid - average corners per match away (7 matches): 4.1.
Liverpool Cards (1.5): Under 1.5
Liverpool - average cards received per match at home (5 matches): 0.8.
Atl. Madrid Cards (2.5): Over 2.5
Atlético Madrid - average cards received per match away (7 matches): 3.
To Score Anytime (multiple tips):
Liverpool goalscorers (last 10 matches): Cody Gakpo (5), Mohamed Salah (3), Hugo Ekitiké (3), Rio Ngumoha (3).
Atl. Madrid goalscorers (last 10 matches): Alexander Sørloth (4), Pablo Barrios (3), Antoine Griezmann (2), Julián Álvarez (2).

14 Sep
Premier League
Burnley
Liverpool
0
1
31 Aug
Premier League
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
0
25 Aug
Premier League
Newcastle
Liverpool
2
3
15 Aug
Premier League
Liverpool
Bournemouth
4
2
10 Aug
Community Shield
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
2
2
(3)
(2)

13 Sep
LaLiga
Atl. Madrid
Villarreal
2
0
30 Aug
LaLiga
Alavés
Atl. Madrid
1
1
23 Aug
LaLiga
Atl. Madrid
Elche
1
1
17 Aug
LaLiga
Espanyol
Atl. Madrid
2
1
09 Aug
Club Friendly Games
Newcastle
Atl. Madrid
0
2
03 Nov 2021
UEFA Champions League, Group B
Liverpool
Atl. Madrid
2
0
19 Oct 2021
UEFA Champions League, Group B
Atl. Madrid
Liverpool
2
3
11 Mar 2020
UEFA Champions League, Knockout stage
Liverpool
Atl. Madrid
1
0
18 Feb 2020
UEFA Champions League, Knockout stage
Atl. Madrid
Liverpool
1
0
02 Aug 2017
Audi Cup
Atl. Madrid
Liverpool
1
1
(5)
(4)
Date: September 17, 2025
League: Champions League
Round: 1
We pick Liverpool to win, with high confidence. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. Under 2.5 goals is our pick, with moderate confidence and prediction model conflict.
Liverpool has picked up 4 straight wins at home. At home, Liverpool remains unbeaten in four straight matches.
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