


Marseille
Rating: 5.7
Good
D
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
→
Points per game:
1.7
Marseille
Home
Away
Total
Points Per Game
2.33
0.75
1.7
Win %
67%
25%
50%
Goals Scored
2.5
0.75
1.8
Goals Conceded
0.83
1.25
1
Possession
53%
58%
55%

Ajax
Rating: 5.3
Mixed
L
D
W
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
→
Points per game:
1.6
Ajax
Home
Away
Total
Points Per Game
2.17
0.75
1.6
Win %
67%
0%
40%
Goals Scored
1.83
1.25
1.6
Goals Conceded
1
2
1.4
Possession
57%
53%
56%
Marseille
Home
Away
Total
Matches
6
4
10
Wins
4
1
5
Draws
2
0
2
Lost
0
3
3
Corners
5.8
6
5.9
Cards
1.5
1.9
1.7
Shots on target
5.2
4.5
4.9
BTTS
67%
50%
60%
Goals (Over 2.5)
50%
50%
50%
Corners, cards and shots on target for Marseille are averages per match.
Marseille
Home
Away
Total
Matches
0
1
1
Wins %
0%
0%
0%
Draws %
0%
0%
0%
Lost %
0%
100%
100%
Goals Scored
0
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
2
2
Clean Sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
0%
0%
Possession
0%
57%
57%
Goals (Over 2.5)
0%
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
100%
100%
Ajax
Home
Away
Total
Matches
6
4
10
Wins
4
0
4
Draws
1
3
4
Lost
1
1
2
Corners
5.8
5.8
5.8
Cards
0.8
3
1.7
Shots on target
6.2
6
6.1
BTTS
50%
75%
60%
Goals (Over 2.5)
50%
75%
60%
Corners, cards and shots on target for Ajax are averages per match.
Ajax
Home
Away
Total
Matches
1
0
1
Wins %
0%
0%
0%
Draws %
0%
0%
0%
Lost %
100%
0%
100%
Goals Scored
0
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
0
2
Clean Sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
0%
100%
Possession
57%
0%
57%
Goals (Over 2.5)
0%
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
0%


AFC Ajax and Marseille have faced each other on very few occasions. Draws seem to be the dominant outcome between Olympique de Marseille and Ajax.


H2H
Marseille
Ajax
Scored
9
8
Win %
33.3%
0%
BTTS
Yes (100%)
Goals 2.5
Over (100%)
Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.
1
Our prediction:
Marseille to win
(moderate confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Marseille
high
Agreement?
Choice
Draw
weak
Odds for Full Time
2
Our prediction:
both teams will score: Yes
(moderate confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Yes
weak
Agreement?
Choice
Yes
weak
Odds for Both Teams To Score
3
Our prediction:
over 2.5 goals in the match
(high confidence).
Market model
H2H model
Choice
Over 2.5
moderate
Agreement?
Choice
Over 2.5
weak
Odds for Goals O/U
4
Double Chance: 1X
Highest probability: 42.9%
Halftime Result: 1
Highest probability: 49.7%
Marseille Corners (5.5): Over 5.5
Olympique de Marseille - average corners per match at home (6 matches): 5.8.
Ajax Corners (3.5): Over 3.5
AFC Ajax - average corners per match away (4 matches): 5.8.
Marseille Cards (1.5): Under 1.5
Olympique de Marseille - average cards received per match at home (6 matches): 1.5.
Ajax Cards (2.5): Over 2.5
AFC Ajax - average cards received per match away (4 matches): 3.
To Score Anytime (multiple tips):
Marseille goalscorers (last 10 matches): Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5), Mason Greenwood (4), Nayef Aguerd (2), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (1).
Ajax goalscorers (last 10 matches): Wout Weghorst (3), Kenneth Taylor (3), Davy Klaassen (2), Mika Godts (2).

26 Sep
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
Marseille
1
2
22 Sep
Ligue 1
Marseille
PSG
1
0
16 Sep
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Marseille
2
1
12 Sep
Ligue 1
Marseille
Lorient
4
0
31 Aug
Ligue 1
Lyon
Marseille
1
0

27 Sep
VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
1
21 Sep
VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
PSV
Ajax
2
2
17 Sep
UEFA Champions League
Ajax
Inter
0
2
13 Sep
VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Ajax
Zwolle
3
1
30 Aug
VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Volendam
Ajax
1
1
30 Nov 2023
UEFA Europa League, Group B
Marseille
Ajax
4
3
21 Sep 2023
UEFA Europa League, Group B
Ajax
Marseille
3
3
20 Jul 2016
Club Friendly Games
Marseille
Ajax
2
2
Date: September 30, 2025
League: Champions League
Round: 2
We pick Olympique de Marseille to win, with moderate confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with moderate confidence. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.
Marseille has picked up 4 straight wins at home. At home, Marseille remains unbeaten in six straight matches.
On the road, Ajax remains unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches.
AFC Ajax have managed three straight draws in their away fixtures. AFC Ajax's defense has allowed goals in all recent four away fixtures. AFC Ajax has gone 4 consecutive away matches without a win.
In AFC Ajax's recent 3 away fixtures, both teams managed to score.
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