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Marseille
Ajax
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Marseille vs Ajax Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Marseille

Rating: 5.7

Good

D

D

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

W

Points per game:

1.7

Marseille

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.33

0.75

1.7

Win %

67%

25%

50%

Goals Scored

2.5

0.75

1.8

Goals Conceded

0.83

1.25

1

Possession

53%

58%

55%

Ajax

Rating: 5.3

Mixed

L

D

W

D

W

D

W

L

D

W

Points per game:

1.6

Ajax

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.17

0.75

1.6

Win %

67%

0%

40%

Goals Scored

1.83

1.25

1.6

Goals Conceded

1

2

1.4

Possession

57%

53%

56%

Teams Statistics

Marseille

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

4

1

5

Draws

2

0

2

Lost

0

3

3

Corners

5.8

6

5.9

Cards

1.5

1.9

1.7

Shots on target

5.2

4.5

4.9

BTTS

67%

50%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

50%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Marseille are averages per match.

Ajax

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

4

0

4

Draws

1

3

4

Lost

1

1

2

Corners

5.8

5.8

5.8

Cards

0.8

3

1.7

Shots on target

6.2

6

6.1

BTTS

50%

75%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

75%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Ajax are averages per match.

Marseille vs Ajax H2H

Marseille
Ajax
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Wins

AFC Ajax and Marseille have faced each other on very few occasions. Draws seem to be the dominant outcome between Olympique de Marseille and Ajax.

Marseille
(at home)
Ajax
(at away)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins

H2H

Marseille

Ajax

Scored

9

8

Win %

33.3%

0%

BTTS

Yes (100%)

Goals 2.5

Over (100%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Marseille vs Ajax Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Marseille to win

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Marseille

high

Agreement?

Choice

Draw

weak

Odds for Full Time

1
1.42
X
4.75
2
7.00

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Yes

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

weak

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.70
No
2.05

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Over 2.5

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

weak

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
2.50
Over
1.53

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.10
X2
2.75
12
1.18

Highest probability: 42.9%

Halftime Result: 1

Tip
1
1.83
X
2.60
2
6.00

Highest probability: 49.7%

Marseille Corners (5.5): Over 5.5

Tip
Over
1.73
Under
2.00

Olympique de Marseille - average corners per match at home (6 matches): 5.8.

Ajax Corners (3.5): Over 3.5

Tip
Over
2.25
Under
1.57

AFC Ajax - average corners per match away (4 matches): 5.8.

Marseille Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.61
Tip
Under
2.20

Olympique de Marseille - average cards received per match at home (6 matches): 1.5.

Ajax Cards (2.5): Over 2.5

Tip
Over
2.20
Under
1.61

AFC Ajax - average cards received per match away (4 matches): 3.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Mason Greenwood
1.83
Tip
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
2.20
Tip
Amine Gouiri
2.30
Tip
Keyliane Abdallah
2.30
Tip
Robinio Vaz
2.30
Tip
Timothy Weah
2.63

Marseille goalscorers (last 10 matches): Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5), Mason Greenwood (4), Nayef Aguerd (2), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (1).

Ajax goalscorers (last 10 matches): Wout Weghorst (3), Kenneth Taylor (3), Davy Klaassen (2), Mika Godts (2).

Teams Matches

Marseille Matches

26 Sep

Ligue 1

Strasbourg

Marseille

1

2

22 Sep

Ligue 1

Marseille

PSG

1

0

16 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Marseille

2

1

12 Sep

Ligue 1

Marseille

Lorient

4

0

31 Aug

Ligue 1

Lyon

Marseille

1

0

Ajax Matches

27 Sep

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Ajax

NAC Breda

2

1

21 Sep

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

PSV

Ajax

2

2

17 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Ajax

Inter

0

2

13 Sep

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Ajax

Zwolle

3

1

30 Aug

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie

Volendam

Ajax

1

1

H2H Matches

30 Nov 2023

UEFA Europa League, Group B

Marseille

Ajax

4

3

21 Sep 2023

UEFA Europa League, Group B

Ajax

Marseille

3

3

20 Jul 2016

Club Friendly Games

Marseille

Ajax

2

2

About Marseille vs Ajax

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille (4-2-3-1)
1
G. Rulli
28
B. Pavard
21
N. Aguerd
32
F. Medina
33
Emerson
17
M. O'Riley
18
A. Vermeeren
10
M. Greenwood
26
B. Nadir
14
I. Paixão
97
P. Aubameyang
1
V. Jaroš
5
O. Wijndal
15
Y. Baas
4
K. Itakura
2
L. Rosa
8
K. Taylor
6
Y. Regeer
18
D. Klaassen
11
M. Godts
10
O. Gloukh
23
S. Berghuis
Ajax (4-3-3)

About the match

Date: September 30, 2025

League: Champions League

Round: 2

Prediction

We pick Olympique de Marseille to win, with moderate confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with moderate confidence. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.

Marseille Streaks

Marseille has picked up 4 straight wins at home. At home, Marseille remains unbeaten in six straight matches.

Ajax Streaks

On the road, Ajax remains unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches.

AFC Ajax have managed three straight draws in their away fixtures. AFC Ajax's defense has allowed goals in all recent four away fixtures. AFC Ajax has gone 4 consecutive away matches without a win.

In AFC Ajax's recent 3 away fixtures, both teams managed to score.