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Marseille
PSG
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Marseille vs PSG Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Marseille

Rating: 5.0

Mixed

D

W

D

D

W

L

W

L

W

L

Points per game:

1.5

Marseille

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2

0.75

1.5

Win %

50%

25%

40%

Goals Scored

2.5

0.75

1.8

Goals Conceded

1

1

1

Possession

59%

60%

59%

PSG

Rating: 9.0

Excellent

W

W

W

L

W

W

W

W

W

W

Points per game:

2.7

PSG

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

3

2

2.7

Win %

100%

67%

90%

Goals Scored

3.29

2.33

3

Goals Conceded

0.71

2

1.1

Possession

68%

71%

69%

Teams Statistics

Marseille

Home

Away

Total

Matches

6

4

10

Wins

3

1

4

Draws

3

0

3

Lost

0

3

3

Corners

6

6.3

6.1

Cards

1.4

1.3

1.4

Shots on target

7.2

2.8

5.2

BTTS

83%

25%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

25%

40%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Marseille are averages per match.

PSG

Home

Away

Total

Matches

7

3

10

Wins

7

2

9

Draws

0

0

0

Lost

0

1

1

Corners

5.6

6.3

5.8

Cards

1.4

1.3

1.4

Shots on target

6.7

6

6.5

BTTS

14%

33%

20%

Goals (Over 2.5)

57%

67%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for PSG are averages per match.

Marseille vs PSG H2H

Marseille
PSG
15 Wins
12 Draws
35 Wins

The H2H history between Marseille and PSG is extensive. PSG dominates Marseille in their direct matches (35 W, 12 D, 15 L).

Marseille
(at home)
PSG
(at away)
9 Wins
8 Draws
13 Wins

H2H

Marseille

PSG

Scored

57

102

Win %

24.2%

56.5%

BTTS

No (54.8%)

Goals 2.5

Over (56.5%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Marseille vs PSG Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

PSG to win

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

PSG

weak

Agreement?

Choice

PSG

high

Odds for Full Time

1
4.10
X
4.10
2
1.73

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Yes

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

No

moderate

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.61
No
2.20

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Over 2.5

moderate

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

moderate

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
2.30
Over
1.61

4

More Betting Tips

Halftime Result: 2

1
4.50
X
2.40
Tip
2
2.25

Highest probability: 41%

Marseille Corners (4.5): Over 4.5

Tip
Over
2.10
Under
1.67

Olympique de Marseille - average corners per match at home (6 matches): 6.

PSG Corners (4.5): Over 4.5

Tip
Over
1.83
Under
1.83

Paris Saint-Germain - average corners per match away (3 matches): 6.3.

Marseille Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
2.20
Tip
Under
1.61

Olympique de Marseille - average cards received per match at home (6 matches): 1.4.

PSG Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.57
Tip
Under
2.25

Paris Saint-Germain - average cards received per match away (3 matches): 1.3.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Goncalo Ramos
2.20
Tip
Bradley Barcola
2.75
Tip
Ibrahim Mbaye
2.75
Tip
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2.75
Tip
Mason Greenwood
2.88
Tip
Kang-In Lee
3.50

Marseille goalscorers (last 10 matches): Mason Greenwood (6), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (4), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (1), Benjamin Pavard (1).

PSG goalscorers (last 10 matches): João Neves (5), Ousmane Dembélé (4), Fabián Ruiz (3), Gonçalo Ramos (3).

Teams Matches

Marseille Matches

16 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Marseille

2

1

12 Sep

Ligue 1

Marseille

Lorient

4

0

31 Aug

Ligue 1

Lyon

Marseille

1

0

23 Aug

Ligue 1

Marseille

Paris

5

2

15 Aug

Ligue 1

Rennes

Marseille

1

0

PSG Matches

17 Sep

UEFA Champions League

PSG

Atalanta

4

0

14 Sep

Ligue 1

PSG

Lens

2

0

30 Aug

Ligue 1

Toulouse

PSG

3

6

22 Aug

Ligue 1

PSG

Angers

1

0

17 Aug

Ligue 1

Nantes

PSG

0

1

H2H Matches

16 Mar 2025

Ligue 1

PSG

Marseille

3

1

27 Oct 2024

Ligue 1

Marseille

PSG

0

3

31 Mar 2024

Ligue 1

Marseille

PSG

0

2

24 Sep 2023

Ligue 1

PSG

Marseille

4

0

26 Feb 2023

Ligue 1

Marseille

PSG

0

3

About Marseille vs PSG

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille (3-4-2-1)
1
G. Rulli
28
B. Pavard
5
L. Balerdi
21
N. Aguerd
22
T. Weah
17
M. O'Riley
23
P. Højbjerg
33
Emerson
10
M. Greenwood
14
I. Paixão
9
A. Gouiri
30
L. Chevalier
51
W. Pacho
6
I. Zabarnyi
5
Marquinhos
25
N. Mendes
8
F. Ruiz
17
Vitinha
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
2
A. Hakimi
9
G. Ramos
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
PSG (3-5-2)

About the match

On September 22, 2025, Olympique de Marseille will face Paris Saint-Germain in round 5 of Ligue 1. The fixture will be held at Orange Velodrome, Marseille, with Jérôme Brisard as the referee.

Marseille is currently in the 8th spot (middle table) with 6 points, while Paris Saint-Germain is 1st on 12 points. Paris Saint-Germain sits higher in the table than Marseille, with seven places and six points in between.

Prediction

We pick Paris Saint-Germain to win, with high confidence. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with high confidence.

Marseille Streaks

Olympique de Marseille has picked up 3 straight wins at home. Marseille has scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 home matches. At home, Marseille remains unbeaten in six straight matches.

Over 2.5 goals were recorded in Marseille's last three matches at home.