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Milan
Fiorentina
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Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Milan

Rating: 6.7

Good

D

L

W

L

W

W

W

W

W

D

Points per game:

2

Milan

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.4

1.6

2

Win %

80%

40%

60%

Goals Scored

1.8

1.4

1.6

Goals Conceded

0.6

1

0.8

Possession

56%

49%

53%

Fiorentina

Rating: 4.0

Mixed

L

W

D

W

D

L

L

D

W

L

Points per game:

1.2

Fiorentina

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

1.2

1.2

1.2

Win %

40%

20%

30%

Goals Scored

1.6

1.8

1.7

Goals Conceded

1.8

1.4

1.6

Possession

51%

49%

50%

Teams Statistics

Milan

Home

Away

Total

Matches

5

5

10

Wins

4

2

6

Draws

0

2

2

Lost

1

1

2

Corners

8.2

3.4

5.8

Cards

1.4

0.8

1.2

Shots on target

5.4

4.6

5

BTTS

40%

40%

40%

Goals (Over 2.5)

60%

40%

50%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Milan are averages per match.

Fiorentina

Home

Away

Total

Matches

5

5

10

Wins

2

1

3

Draws

0

3

3

Lost

3

1

4

Corners

5.4

3

4.2

Cards

2.3

1.5

1.8

Shots on target

3.4

2.2

2.8

BTTS

80%

40%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

80%

40%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Fiorentina are averages per match.

Milan vs Fiorentina H2H

Milan
Fiorentina
22 Wins
13 Draws
17 Wins

The H2H history between Milan and Fiorentina is extensive. Milan dominates Fiorentina in their direct matches (22 W, 13 D, 17 L).

Milan
(at home)
Fiorentina
(at away)
13 Wins
5 Draws
8 Wins

H2H

Milan

Fiorentina

Scored

74

65

Win %

42.3%

32.7%

BTTS

Yes (57.7%)

Goals 2.5

Even (50%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Milan to win

(high confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Milan

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Milan

high

Odds for Full Time

1
1.73
X
3.60
2
5.00

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams will score: Yes

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

No

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Yes

high

Odds for Both Teams To Score

Yes
1.95
No
1.80

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

over 2.5 goals in the match

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Under 2.5

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Over 2.5

high

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
1.80
Over
2.00

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.17
X2
2.05
12
1.29

Highest probability: 40.4%

Halftime Result: 1

Tip
1
2.30
X
2.20
2
5.50

Highest probability: 40.6%

Milan Corners (5.5): Over 5.5

Tip
Over
1.91
Under
1.80

Milan - average corners per match at home (5 matches): 8.2.

Fiorentina Corners (3.5): Under 3.5

Over
2.10
Tip
Under
1.67

Fiorentina - average corners per match away (5 matches): 3.

Milan Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.73
Tip
Under
2.00

Milan - average cards received per match at home (5 matches): 1.4.

Fiorentina Cards (2.5): Under 2.5

Over
2.20
Tip
Under
1.61

Fiorentina - average cards received per match away (5 matches): 1.5.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Santiago Gimenez
2.05
Tip
Christopher Nkunku
2.88
Tip
Rafael Leao
3.20
Tip
Adrien Rabiot
4.00
Tip
Albert Gudmundsson
4.00
Tip
Alexis Saelemaekers
4.00

Milan goalscorers (last 10 matches): Christian Pulišić (6), Santiago Giménez (2), Youssouf Fofana (2), Luka Modrić (1).

Fiorentina goalscorers (last 10 matches): Rolando Mandragora (2), Luca Ranieri (2), Edin Džeko (1), Robin Gosens (1).

Teams Matches

Milan Matches

05 Oct

Serie A

Juventus

Milan

0

0

28 Sep

Serie A

Milan

Napoli

2

1

23 Sep

Coppa Italia

Milan

Lecce

3

0

20 Sep

Serie A

Udinese

Milan

0

3

14 Sep

Serie A

Milan

Bologna

1

0

Fiorentina Matches

05 Oct

Serie A

Fiorentina

Roma

1

2

02 Oct

UEFA Conference League

Fiorentina

Sigma Olomouc

2

0

28 Sep

Serie A

Pisa

Fiorentina

0

0

21 Sep

Serie A

Fiorentina

Como

1

2

13 Sep

Serie A

Fiorentina

Napoli

1

3

H2H Matches

05 Apr 2025

Serie A

Milan

Fiorentina

2

2

06 Oct 2024

Serie A

Fiorentina

Milan

2

1

30 Mar 2024

Serie A

Fiorentina

Milan

1

2

25 Nov 2023

Serie A

Milan

Fiorentina

1

0

04 Mar 2023

Serie A

Fiorentina

Milan

2

1

About Milan vs Fiorentina

Confirmed Lineups

Milan (3-5-2)
16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlović
24
Z. Athekame
19
Y. Fofana
14
L. Modrić
4
S. Ricci
33
D. Bartesaghi
56
A. Saelemaekers
10
R. Leão
43
D. De Gea
6
L. Ranieri
18
P. Marí
5
M. Pongračić
21
R. Gosens
44
N. Fagioli
14
H. N. Caviglia
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodô
20
M. Kean
22
J. Fazzini
Fiorentina (3-5-2)

About the match

On October 19, 2025, Milan will face Fiorentina in round 7 of Serie A. The fixture will be held at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, with Livio Marinelli as the referee.

In the standings, Milan is placed fifth (upper table) with 13 points, whereas Fiorentina sits eighteenth (in the relegation zone) with 3 pts. Milan is currently placed thirteen positions above Fiorentina, with a ten points difference.

Prediction

We pick Milan to win, with high confidence. BTTS Yes is the likely outcome, with moderate confidence and prediction model conflict. Over 2.5 goals is our pick, with moderate confidence and prediction model conflict.

Milan Streaks

Milan has picked up 3 straight wins at home. At home, Milan remains unbeaten in three straight matches.

Fiorentina Streaks

On the road, Fiorentina remains unbeaten in 4 consecutive matches.

Fiorentina have managed three straight draws in their away fixtures. Fiorentina has gone 3 consecutive away matches without a win.