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Milan
Napoli
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Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Teams Form (last 10 matches)

Milan

Rating: 7.3

Excellent

W

W

D

L

W

L

W

W

W

W

Points per game:

2.2

Milan

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.25

2.17

2.2

Win %

75%

67%

70%

Goals Scored

1.75

3.33

2.7

Goals Conceded

0.5

1.17

0.9

Possession

61%

51%

55%

Napoli

Rating: 7.3

Excellent

L

D

W

W

W

W

W

W

L

W

Points per game:

2.2

Napoli

Home

Away

Total

Points Per Game

2.29

2

2.2

Win %

71%

67%

70%

Goals Scored

2.14

1.67

2

Goals Conceded

1.14

1

1.1

Possession

51%

45%

49%

Teams Statistics

Milan

Home

Away

Total

Matches

4

6

10

Wins

3

4

7

Draws

0

1

1

Lost

1

1

2

Corners

10

3.5

6.1

Cards

1.4

0.6

1

Shots on target

6

6.3

6.2

BTTS

25%

50%

40%

Goals (Over 2.5)

50%

67%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Milan are averages per match.

Napoli

Home

Away

Total

Matches

7

3

10

Wins

5

2

7

Draws

1

0

1

Lost

1

1

2

Corners

7.7

3

6.3

Cards

0.4

1

0.6

Shots on target

6.1

4.7

5.7

BTTS

71%

33%

60%

Goals (Over 2.5)

71%

33%

60%

Corners, cards and shots on target for Napoli are averages per match.

Milan vs Napoli H2H

Milan
Napoli
13 Wins
15 Draws
15 Wins

The H2H history between Milan and Napoli is extensive. Napoli dominates Milan in their direct matches (15 W, 15 D, 13 L).

Milan
(at home)
Napoli
(at away)
8 Wins
7 Draws
7 Wins

H2H

Milan

Napoli

Scored

53

55

Win %

30.2%

34.9%

BTTS

Yes (53.5%)

Goals 2.5

Over (51.2%)

Check the "Matches" section on this page for a list of recent H2H.

Milan vs Napoli Predictions

1

Who Will Win?

Our prediction:

Napoli to win

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Milan

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Napoli

moderate

Odds for Full Time

1
2.00
X
3.30
2
3.75

2

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Our prediction:

both teams to score: No

(weak confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

-

weak

Agreement?

Choice

No

weak

3

Match Goals Over/Under 2.5

Our prediction:

under 2.5 goals in the match

(moderate confidence).

Market model

H2H model

Choice

Under 2.5

weak

Agreement?

Choice

Under 2.5

weak

Odds for Goals O/U

Under
1.73
Over
2.10

4

More Betting Tips

Double Chance: 1X

Tip
1X
1.25
X2
1.80
12
1.33

Highest probability: 38%

Halftime Result: X

1
2.63
Tip
X
2.10
2
4.33

Highest probability: 43.8%

Milan Corners (4.5): Over 4.5

Tip
Over
1.80
Under
1.91

Milan - average corners per match at home (4 matches): 10.

Napoli Corners (4.5): Under 4.5

Over
2.00
Tip
Under
1.73

Napoli - average corners per match away (3 matches): 3.

Milan Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.57
Tip
Under
2.25

Milan - average cards received per match at home (4 matches): 1.4.

Napoli Cards (1.5): Under 1.5

Over
1.57
Tip
Under
2.25

Napoli - average cards received per match away (3 matches): 1.

To Score Anytime (multiple tips):

Tip
Santiago Gimenez
2.25
Tip
Christopher Nkunku
2.88
Tip
Christian Pulisic
3.10
Tip
Lorenzo Lucca
3.40
Tip
Rafael Leao
3.40
Tip
Antonio Vergara
3.60

Milan goalscorers (last 10 matches): Christian Pulišić (5), Rafael Leão (4), Noah Okafor (4), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (2).

Napoli goalscorers (last 10 matches): Kevin De Bruyne (4), Lorenzo Lucca (4), Matteo Politano (2), Scott McTominay (2).

Teams Matches

Milan Matches

23 Sep

Coppa Italia

Milan

Lecce

3

0

20 Sep

Serie A

Udinese

Milan

0

3

14 Sep

Serie A

Milan

Bologna

1

0

29 Aug

Serie A

Lecce

Milan

0

2

23 Aug

Serie A

Milan

Cremonese

1

2

Napoli Matches

22 Sep

Serie A

Napoli

Pisa

3

2

18 Sep

UEFA Champions League

Man City

Napoli

2

0

13 Sep

Serie A

Fiorentina

Napoli

1

3

30 Aug

Serie A

Napoli

Cagliari

1

0

23 Aug

Serie A

Sassuolo

Napoli

0

2

H2H Matches

30 Mar 2025

Serie A

Napoli

Milan

2

1

29 Oct 2024

Serie A

Milan

Napoli

0

2

11 Feb 2024

Serie A

Milan

Napoli

1

0

29 Oct 2023

Serie A

Napoli

Milan

2

2

18 Apr 2023

UEFA Champions League, Knockout stage

Napoli

Milan

1

1

About Milan vs Napoli

Confirmed Lineups

Milan (3-5-2)
16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlović
56
A. Saelemaekers
19
Y. Fofana
14
L. Modrić
12
A. Rabiot
2
P. Estupiñán
7
S. Giménez
11
C. Pulišić
1
A. Meret
3
M. Gutiérrez
5
Juan Jesus
35
L. Marianucci
22
G. Di Lorenzo
68
S. Lobotka
8
S. McTominay
11
K. De Bruyne
99
F. Anguissa
21
M. Politano
19
R. Højlund
Napoli (4-1-4-1)

About the match

On September 28, 2025, Milan will face Napoli in round 5 of Serie A. The fixture will be held at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, with Daniele Chiffi as the referee.

Milan holds the sixth position (upper table), with 9 points. Napoli, meanwhile, is first with 12 points. Napoli sits higher in the table than Milan, with five places and only three points in between.

Prediction

We pick Napoli to win, with low confidence and prediction model conflict. BTTS No is the likely outcome, with low confidence based on H2H only. Under 2.5 goals is our pick, with moderate confidence.